TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,116 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over41c110,211$45,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,077.6939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under59c59,130$34,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,249.1883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,33035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc90…f310backed Under60c10,070$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under59c8,723$5,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.6324846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Over41c8,694$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.688862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under59c8,360$4,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked Under59c6,275$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under59c3,735$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.3535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.8311046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under65c1,700$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under59c1,575$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.692,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under60c1,428$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.21,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under59c1,128$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.996450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c1,087$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.853,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over5c834.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.851,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c736.49$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.293,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…e38cbacked Over27c731.96$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over40c678.72$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over39c618.84$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9821737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed Over39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x950c…e503backed Under60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f19…8ce4backed Under60c550$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…cbf0backed Over39c550$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Under57c544.42$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.16246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe105…1b21backed Over21c544.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under62c486.01$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.685,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over59c336.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked Under60c324.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.775048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under66c292$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9727443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Under77c268$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.814248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over44c263.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.021,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Over40c250.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Over40c197.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Under36c190.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under57c155.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.711,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Over22c127.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0824134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4242backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Over40c117.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.062441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under57c109.77$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under59c99.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4331440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under62c94.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5126958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccc6…ab4ebacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over38c91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under59c88.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2317745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…7a35backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…55dfbacked Under47c85.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57a…824abacked Over42c82.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under62c81.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9749242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under47c81.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0729153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under56c80.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c79.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.372,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Under59c78.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.336245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over34c78.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9221263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ad…25fcbacked Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.254748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under65c67.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.564542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over47c65.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.467939.2%31 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over28c64.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb80…e6ccbacked Over31c63.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under62c62.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed Over48c60.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed Under68c58.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.699946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over43c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6912469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6402…c755backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Over36c55.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.099349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a93…dd6cbacked Under59c54.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912c…f468backed Under68c52.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Over39c50.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under61c49.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Under62c48.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d2…0290backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under58c47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.845,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Under66c42.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.615642.9%24 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Under60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over49c39.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.188444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7549745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Under74c37.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8432561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under60c36.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.438855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over30c34.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under48c34.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under59c33.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8719350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Under76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.894660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e5…afd1backed Over48c32.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…d401backed Over41c32.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb760…0be8backed Under68c30.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.742450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Under74c30.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.894946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under59c28.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8236846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.