CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb40365b77a3a511fbe0901e7cc9870de57bbf141c11750251fe729f9842b50a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 41c | 110,211$45,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,077.69 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 59c | 59,130$34,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,249.18 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 59c | 13,000$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…f310backed Under | 60c | 10,070$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 59c | 8,723$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.63 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Over | 41c | 8,694$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.68 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 59c | 8,360$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.6 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…5c4fbacked Under | 59c | 6,275$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 59c | 3,735$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.35 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 65c | 1,700$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.12 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 1,575$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.69 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 1,428$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 59c | 1,128$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 1,087$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 5c | 834.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 736.49$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…e38cbacked Over | 27c | 731.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 40c | 678.72$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 618.84$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Under | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Over | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Under | 57c | 544.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Over | 21c | 544.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 486.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 59c | 336.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked Under | 60c | 324.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 66c | 292$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Under | 77c | 268$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 44c | 263.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…a69ebacked Over | 40c | 250.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 40c | 197.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Under | 36c | 190.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 155.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Over | 22c | 127.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…4242backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Over | 40c | 117.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 57c | 109.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bf97backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 99.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 62c | 94.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…ab4ebacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 59c | 88.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…7a35backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…55dfbacked Under | 47c | 85.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…824abacked Over | 42c | 82.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 62c | 81.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 47c | 81.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 56c | 80.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 79.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 59c | 78.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 34c | 78.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…25fcbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 65c | 67.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 47c | 65.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 28c | 64.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…e6ccbacked Over | 31c | 63.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 62c | 62.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Over | 48c | 60.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Under | 68c | 58.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…c755backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 36c | 55.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…dd6cbacked Under | 59c | 54.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…f468backed Under | 68c | 52.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Over | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…79a0backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Under | 62c | 48.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…0290backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Under | 66c | 42.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 49c | 39.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 60c | 36.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 30c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 48c | 34.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 59c | 33.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…afd1backed Over | 48c | 32.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d401backed Over | 41c | 32.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0be8backed Under | 68c | 30.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Under | 74c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 59c | 28.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.