TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x912c…f468

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.48
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+864.9%+$2,526.1
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.05
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$1,004.34
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.12
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$38.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.01
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.01
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$118.09
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+284.8%+$3,843.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$214.3
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$108.33
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$12.51
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$12.07
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$15.58
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$14.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)backed UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$12.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$5.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32%+$68.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.