TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,846 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes49c140,432$68,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,886.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c34,491$17,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,926.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes44c31,583$13,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,725.115151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No76c28,910$21,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,971.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c18,083$6,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.931,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes21c17,452$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,787.031421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No51c15,778$8,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,046.7813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No79c10,127$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c8,754$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.674,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No78c6,315$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.7611149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c5,553$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.932,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c4,873$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.722,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.4511942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c4,400$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c4,142$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.111,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes39c3,808$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.1412532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No32c3,517$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No36c3,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9125836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c3,006$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.629134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No51c2,942$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.517844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No79c2,778$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.6221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes77c2,687$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.289246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes24c2,424$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.0616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No40c2,400$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No76c2,375$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8051457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c2,326$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.321,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,308$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.461,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes58c2,251$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes22c1,690$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.1610726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes23c1,557$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.9112949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes24c1,544$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.4415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No79c1,379$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.452466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed No37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes21c1,243$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.27557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes22c1,109$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.092828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6714138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.675324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.995547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Yes80c999.76$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes72c999.27$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.85154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No8c954.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No33c898.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes23c852$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.3122458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes25c814.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.592528%7 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c772.35$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.8115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes22c733.16$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.875942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…681abacked No76c658$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c596.03$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No72c589.99$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c560.38$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.761,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c525.87$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes75c524.8$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.27342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No75c485.65$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.733953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d33…3b2dbacked Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.558831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3800…c45fbacked Yes23c451.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.47633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No53c432$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1641343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c416.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No41c401$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4122534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c400.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…77a0backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No73c399.98$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.994261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No55c393.16$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c390.29$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes21c388$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5211443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1563…1877backed Yes25c379.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+100.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No44c371.63$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.722528%7 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa87…1ab8backed Yes25c371.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+273.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1e…4086backed Yes25c360$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+73.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No35c349.12$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Yes72c347.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes21c346$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1610246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed Yes20c344.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.862250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…1708backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No79c330$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No77c324.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes36c322.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes46c317.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.244837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes30c317$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No61c310.71$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes24c302.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6115748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c300$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2283650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.