TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,814,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,814,602 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 841 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No45c321,584$144,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,187.517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes53c246,615$130,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,705.746857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No48c224,827$107,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,408.316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No46c170,000$78,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,699.993557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Yes57c144,459$81,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,938.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes57c130,489$73,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,792.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No45c129,930$58,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,461.59856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes55c113,167$62,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,604.341723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes53c111,724$59,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,213.7215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes55c99,999$54,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.453740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes55c89,852$49,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,418.848146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No47c80,000$37,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,399.8913748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No43c58,449$25,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,315.89141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes56c55,357$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No44c53,177$23,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,820.972657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,499.9715949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes52c44,820$23,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,306.153053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes57c43,860$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c41,232$20,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,124.912,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No44c40,556$17,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,669.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,20014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No47c31,308$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,607.353661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes54c29,399$15,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,875.6716651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c26,995$14,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,434.112,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No48c23,205$11,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,066.610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes57c19,992$11,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,345.5950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No47c19,865$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,547.074748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No47c18,888$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,010.6416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c18,887$8,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.0524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c18,200$8,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,012.9931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes56c17,771$9,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,951.531020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Yes57c17,500$9,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9751241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c16,040$9,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,729.446,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No44c14,915$6,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,402.443644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes53c14,874$7,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,894.7921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No47c13,000$6,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,859.864252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No47c11,904$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,309.046550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No47c10,928$5,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,792.0515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c10,061$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.7285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No47c9,271$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.3451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c9,129$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.611,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.964944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No43c8,927$3,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,088.165547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c8,880$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.581,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed No76c8,726$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No46c8,685$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.771770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No47c8,066$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,265.6415748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes54c6,723$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.541,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed Yes52c6,140$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No46c6,134$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.3110253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No45c6,100$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.9619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No44c5,460$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No48c4,966$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.285246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No45c4,962$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.6125544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No44c4,645$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.457742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes57c4,257$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.494548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes56c4,200$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3521643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes55c4,188$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.44240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.676354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c4,033$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c3,760$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.7849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7125…23eebacked Yes52c3,686$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes50c3,632$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c3,410$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No43c3,297$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.721675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes48c3,160$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.6128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes42c3,116$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.564057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No46c3,000$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c2,999$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.951,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c2,965$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No47c2,950$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.54553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No44c2,845$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No44c2,778$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.559350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes13c2,595$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…d650backed Yes44c2,483$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes53c2,453$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c2,317$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1961,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes56c2,273$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2732070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No45c2,209$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.22466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No47c2,087$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes37c2,033$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.826835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42016437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.