TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,640 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c21,644$16,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c16,008$11,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes28c10,480$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.091833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes28c6,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8204434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.943971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c4,780$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.061,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes22c3,121$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.712949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c2,979$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.181,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes28c2,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6959134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fc…7162backed No78c2,235$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c2,234$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.441,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c2,148$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes24c2,095$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c2,028$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.874,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c1,828$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes24c1,794$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.635623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes26c1,751$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b7…5918backed Yes22c1,638$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No78c1,480$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.774369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c1,436$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes23c1,409$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502524%6 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes8c915.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.242931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c871.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c774.8$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes24c749.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes23c664.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5417337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes28c632.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9110232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No76c604.12$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.383953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13822746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c572.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c513.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No77c496.65$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.232166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01d9…27a3backed Yes19c484.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c468$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.31,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c454.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.31,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe79a…d65cbacked Yes28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes21c444$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2415233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Yes29c431.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Yes27c375.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes24c365.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003218.8%6 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No77c344.4$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes13c309.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.810626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes27c295.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.788737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No78c273.78$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.231866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…8282backed Yes19c253.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid+41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c240.65$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c214.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c213.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c203.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes23c192.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.312330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Yes21c180$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ec…681ebacked No71c179.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes23c178.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No78c170$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…714ebacked Yes23c167.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ed…6d09backed Yes29c165.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c24…1412backed Yes23c158$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…72d3backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5e…3b08backed Yes25c151.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0328246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c144.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes24c140.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c139.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.