TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5ec…681e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$82.8
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$202.93
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$106
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+383.1%+$305.29
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.75
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.54
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.28
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.53
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.77
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.87
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.22
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.39
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.7
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$797.17
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.21
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$145.26
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.29
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$113.36
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.15
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.88
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$39.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.18
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.83
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+219%+$592.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$679.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$57.93
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+265%+$944.54
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$106.79
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+217.7%+$102.78
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.7
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+202.1%+$96.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.53
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$175.78
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$406.49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.06
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.76
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+204%+$564.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$380.81
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+342.1%+$406.67
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.56
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$20.77
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$27.25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.57
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.4
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.18
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$105.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$144.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$130.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.