CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bae5e4c00888198a9d89fd23000005c7cf08c8deb273c220537730186098bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof 3DMAX, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,118,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,118,817 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 728 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed 3DMAX | 13c | 59,700$7,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,761 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 43,301$27,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,021.53 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX | 36c | 36,166$13,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,069.75 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 22,899$9,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.46 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6299backed 3DMAX | 33c | 22,561$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 19,933$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 16c | 19,620$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 16,898$10,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.93 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed 3DMAX | 39c | 16,500$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 3DMAX | 32c | 15,992$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.47 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…11a0backed 3DMAX | 34c | 14,923$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 14,791$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.37 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 14,652$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.66 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 24c | 12,235$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 11,965$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 11,218$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.71 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…bebfbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 10,500$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 3DMAX | 36c | 10,051$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 9,888$7,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.65 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX | 35c | 9,092$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.33 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 8,009$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.11 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,000$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.64 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed 3DMAX | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 7,699$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.82 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 3DMAX | 38c | 7,500$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.98 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 7,027$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.44 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed 3DMAX | 37c | 6,889$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,512$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.57 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 6,207$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.82 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,910$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.68 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 5,623$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.91 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed 3DMAX | 39c | 5,555$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.45 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 5,410$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.37 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 5,346$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed 3DMAX | 38c | 5,317$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,186$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.96 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,000$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.89 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked 3DMAX | 28c | 5,000$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.12 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…9291backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed 3DMAX | 33c | 5,000$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.77 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,950$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.97 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed 3DMAX | 32c | 4,922$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.93 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked 3DMAX | 38c | 4,869$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.14 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…ba19backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,817$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 4,815$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.49 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,780$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.09 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked 3DMAX | 24c | 4,648$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.51 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,629$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.01 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 4,606$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.98 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed 3DMAX | 40c | 4,468$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…90d0backed 3DMAX | 37c | 4,137$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 3DMAX | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed 3DMAX | 28c | 3,800$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,662$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.02 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed 3DMAX | 38c | 3,632$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.06 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked 3DMAX | 19c | 3,628$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.15 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,588$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.68 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,571$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.7 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed 3DMAX | 29c | 3,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,313$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.8 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,300$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed 3DMAX | 39c | 3,235$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…99fabacked 3DMAX | 41c | 3,165$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 3,000$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.57 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed 3DMAX | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX | 36c | 2,962$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX | 12c | 2,890$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.74 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed 3DMAX | 36c | 2,768$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 3DMAX | 37c | 2,710$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.56 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed 3DMAX | 41c | 2,689$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…2c1bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,650$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked 3DMAX | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked 3DMAX | 14c | 2,550$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed 3DMAX | 34c | 2,523$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.77 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,517$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.32 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed 3DMAX | 41c | 2,512$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.17 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 22c | 2,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,497$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.55 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 3DMAX | 28c | 2,488$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.51 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed 3DMAX | 38c | 2,419$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 2,355$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed 3DMAX | 19c | 2,317$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.91 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,249$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.54 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed 3DMAX | 34c | 2,168$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.41 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…e73cbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 2,115$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,099$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.75 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed 3DMAX | 27c | 2,052$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed 3DMAX | 23c | 2,031$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.25 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed 3DMAX | 37c | 1,987$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked 3DMAX | 17c | 1,956$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed 3DMAX | 26c | 1,928$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.