CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c042bf9d8bf77c9b1ad54a8a663932e4a981f564d8f82c9b278817c6eda273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,645 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 4,885$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.16 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 4,776$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.28 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 1,574$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 60c | 1,279$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 68c | 1,118$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.72 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Under | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 47c | 296.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 47c | 257.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Under | 37c | 216.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…ec1abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 131.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…6bacbacked Over | 47c | 131.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 46c | 110.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 101.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…0912backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 57c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 48c | 87.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 53c | 83.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 45c | 75.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 53c | 70.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Under | 63c | 70.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 48c | 53.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 45.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 43.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 37c | 40.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 41c | 38.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 63c | 36.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Over | 54c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 49c | 31.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Over | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Over | 49c | 31.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 49c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 316 | 40.2%127 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…d255backed Under | 64c | 23.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 48c | 21.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 48c | 20.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Over | 48c | 20.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 48c | 20.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…402bbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Under | 69c | 18.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.