TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabb9…6da4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3375.8%25 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$513.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$184.23
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$29.93
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Elina Avanesyan vs Sara Saitobacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$187.64
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$78.35
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.95
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$227.62
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,371.65
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$242.64
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+43%+$138.12
Santiago: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Daniel Galanbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.46
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.3
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,286.02
Antalya 3: Polina Kudermetova vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$429.57
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$895.43
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,487.46
BNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$512.03
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,842Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$1,446.22
BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
BNP Paribas Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,291
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$161.39
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40%+$119.96
BNP Paribas Open: Ugo Humbert vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$27.83
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$120.52
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$152.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.45
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$262.49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$127.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$335.58
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$126.07
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$204.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$687.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$111.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$223.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.7%+$52.75
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$60.21
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.52
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+193.5%+$58.07
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$32.64
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.67
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+63.5%+$39.79
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$34.12
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.6%+$25.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$89.49
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$218.32
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$243.94
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$621.18
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$44.81
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25.4%+$47.34
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$36.74
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.26
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+59.2%+$9.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$108.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$2,505.65
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$368.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$147.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+45.5%+$81.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74.3%+$70.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$31.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$70.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+113.2%+$164.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$62.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.