CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447fc1b8835144518bea1cfaae679d2a4649da0494572c9735493bf6d91185aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 31c | 22,244$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.43 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed MOUZ | 69c | 10,330$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 73c | 8,000$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ | 72c | 6,755$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.86 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 69c | 6,073$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Astralis | 0c | 5,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed MOUZ | 77c | 5,220$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.16 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ | 68c | 3,127$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.6 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 70c | 2,498$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.91 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,943$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.68 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 29c | 1,766$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Astralis | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 26c | 1,500$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Astralis | 27c | 1,447$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,372$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.46 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 26c | 1,349$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 34c | 1,185$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Astralis | 30c | 1,072$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,056$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,025$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…c88dbacked Astralis | 5c | 1,024$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,011$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 26c | 976.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed MOUZ | 75c | 937.62$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 66c | 904.71$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 10c | 749.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed Astralis | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed MOUZ | 77c | 650.38$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Astralis | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 20c | 510$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Astralis | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ | 78c | 486.14$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 29c | 445.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed MOUZ | 71c | 425.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ | 73c | 416$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis | 23c | 368.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 67c | 365.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…06acbacked MOUZ | 71c | 325.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 72c | 315.81$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 32c | 284.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 20c | 259$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 8c | 246.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 21c | 218.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 13c | 217.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Astralis | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed MOUZ | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed MOUZ | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed MOUZ | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Astralis | 28c | 106.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed MOUZ | 69c | 100.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed MOUZ | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked Astralis | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed MOUZ | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked MOUZ | 69c | 79.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked MOUZ | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…78bfbacked Astralis | 22c | 72.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Astralis | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed MOUZ | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Astralis | 33c | 69.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Astralis | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 24c | 64.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Astralis | 33c | 63.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Astralis | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 71c | 60.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed MOUZ | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astralis | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 27c | 59.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed MOUZ | 68c | 56.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…f582backed MOUZ | 70c | 53.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Astralis | 33c | 53.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Astralis | 24c | 51.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis | 28c | 48.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed MOUZ | 72c | 45.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 76c | 40.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Astralis | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ | 69c | 38.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Astralis | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 32.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Astralis | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked MOUZ | 69c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed MOUZ | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…3a9fbacked MOUZ | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 65c | 24.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked MOUZ | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.