CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5a95e43bc18b0b7a4f63e3f7cadb08cf6f9f34da3a1f0fd618134eb7199e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof MOUZ, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 46c | 14,970$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,123.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 35c | 14,110$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,191.58 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 35c | 11,310$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.87 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis | 31c | 10,190$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.7 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked MOUZ | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed MOUZ | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ | 80c | 9,667$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.35 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed MOUZ | 68c | 8,802$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.66 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Astralis | 30c | 6,035$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 32c | 5,866$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.51 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 4,574$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.79 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed MOUZ | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 38c | 3,651$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.03 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 33c | 2,999$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.45 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed MOUZ | 72c | 2,776$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.49 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,643$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Astralis | 39c | 2,526$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.54 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 2,500$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,483$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.22 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 27c | 2,190$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,166$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.95 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,026$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.96 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…e053backed MOUZ | 7c | 1,979$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Astralis | 35c | 1,938$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.2 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis | 40c | 1,853$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.8 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,812$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.03 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,771$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.74 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 43c | 1,687$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 22c | 1,650$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.6 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,576$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.24 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.17 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 55c | 1,520$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.45 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,450$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,408$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,386$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.7 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Astralis | 32c | 1,266$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.66 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,153$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 53c | 1,151$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.43 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 40c | 1,148$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.11 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,128$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,084$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 32c | 1,075$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…f2b3backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,055$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Astralis | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Astralis | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…48f1backed MOUZ | 6c | 976.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Astralis | 32c | 959.83$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ | 69c | 937.19$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.66 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Astralis | 46c | 869.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6b04backed MOUZ | 65c | 796.42$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis | 34c | 796.24$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.05 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed MOUZ | 62c | 778.53$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.9 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed MOUZ | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Astralis | 31c | 748.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.57 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ | 24c | 739.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Astralis | 31c | 701.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Astralis | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis | 11c | 700$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed MOUZ | 62c | 662.38$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 64c | 634.81$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked MOUZ | 77c | 600.26$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Astralis | 28c | 595.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.59 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed MOUZ | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Astralis | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Astralis | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 37c | 485.41$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 49c | 482.41$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astralis | 48c | 478.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Astralis | 20c | 470.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.74 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Astralis | 44c | 454.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 67c | 448.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked MOUZ | 72c | 415.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed MOUZ | 8c | 410.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 28c | 396.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Astralis | 69c | 390.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis | 44c | 372.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 44c | 371.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 78c | 350$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Astralis | 31c | 322.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed MOUZ | 51c | 319.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Astralis | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ | 67c | 298.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Astralis | 30c | 296.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ | 13c | 270$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Astralis | 37c | 267.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Astralis | 35c | 259$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 34c | 243.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…9c4dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 230.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked MOUZ | 21c | 229.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 57c | 228.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed MOUZ | 20c | 226.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Astralis | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.