CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd23294527a6756b3cd0889d1d455d1d391548b54083cd91ba10246cd03a2983d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,156 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 79c | 1,272$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 7c | 1,188$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 53c | 666.35$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…9ef3backed Under | 57c | 349$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…3d28backed Under | 57c | 322$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 57c | 319.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…51bebacked Under | 58c | 231$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…592fbacked Over | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…4ae4backed Over | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…1e52backed Under | 56c | 204$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 200.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…6102backed Under | 58c | 198$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…1b3bbacked Under | 56c | 198$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 43c | 191$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d5…52ecbacked Over | 44c | 174$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a9ebbacked Over | 43c | 169$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…d7e9backed Over | 42c | 166$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…bd1ebacked Over | 43c | 149$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…0cb4backed Over | 43c | 148$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9872…8b73backed Over | 42c | 141$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 136.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…c949backed Over | 42c | 122$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 48c | 104.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 39c | 104$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Under | 54c | 97.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 84.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 42c | 40.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…49e5backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 53c | 31.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 54c | 29.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…b737backed Over | 45c | 28.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.