TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,084,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,084,065 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis54c196,842$106,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,460.2242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ46c39,817$18,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,549.2839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ62c36,705$22,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,814.2535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis41c28,793$11,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,682.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ60c27,823$16,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,112.6419757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed MOUZ46c23,460$10,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,668.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis31c22,993$7,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,227.725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis30c22,055$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.2622142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis29c20,249$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,907.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed MOUZ51c19,121$9,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.345848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed MOUZ67c16,808$11,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis17c14,970$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.7581843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis31c13,743$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.331,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed MOUZ58c13,200$7,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5446656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Astralis4c12,389$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.639139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ69c11,567$7,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.8672453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ70c11,503$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.4432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis37c10,865$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.6919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed MOUZ69c10,216$7,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.963953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Astralis43c10,000$4,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.353852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ55c7,350$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,27942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis28c6,584$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.412,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ54c6,581$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.8424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ50c6,091$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.55,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Astralis31c6,059$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.6613850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ46c6,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.9930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ57c6,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis17c5,845$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.572,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ45c5,842$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.8737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed MOUZ46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…acf5backed MOUZ46c4,939$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ68c4,548$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47115970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed MOUZ46c4,496$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.6520838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis31c4,303$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.281,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis24c4,269$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.837,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ69c4,263$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.6444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed MOUZ70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Astralis29c3,733$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.544546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ69c3,700$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed MOUZ71c3,600$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.9913059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked MOUZ64c3,596$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.915341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…b339backed MOUZ71c3,500$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ70c3,498$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.475,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis29c3,410$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.4920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Astralis32c3,333$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.246858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis34c3,310$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.651,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Astralis3c3,290$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1917617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8723952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Astralis31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis12c3,155$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed MOUZ68c3,048$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis29c3,000$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.971,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis28c2,964$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.8147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ46c2,845$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.376836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis39c2,771$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis29c2,720$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.9229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Astralis46c2,609$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Astralis27c2,490$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9415732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd7…05d8backed MOUZ78c2,389$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.581752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ46c2,350$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.4718624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ76c2,285$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.361,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Astralis23c2,257$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Astralis30c2,167$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Astralis29c2,140$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis26c2,071$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis45c2,070$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.1364552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed MOUZ46c2,010$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Astralis35c2,003$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis31c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5f…2753backed Astralis33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd56…8f60backed MOUZ71c1,912$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked MOUZ70c1,739$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.7118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked MOUZ71c1,734$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1615063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ75c1,728$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.2440950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked MOUZ71c1,657$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.569258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked Astralis33c1,637$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.8819022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ70c1,635$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.23,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ46c1,614$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.3875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Astralis46c1,566$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3610138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed MOUZ77c1,560$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.144965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ66c1,548$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.374,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ46c1,501$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.5417042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.4445455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Astralis17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ72c1,458$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4520458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed MOUZ71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4517240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis9c1,403$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.31,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed Astralis29c1,363$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis28c1,307$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.491,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ74c1,273$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5445162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis31c1,142$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.781,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ70c1,142$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ46c1,113$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.0454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff56…ef9fbacked Astralis2c1,100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.