CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9db24e03a75c330e713da903d60273ec1e4eeeb9bb7e7320edaf6256de9acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof MOUZ, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,274 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,000$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,410$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.75 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 50c | 2,381$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.76 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 55c | 2,070$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.38 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Astralis | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.98 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 38c | 1,168$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.42 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Astralis | 47c | 594.7$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 503.96$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 44c | 490.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Astralis | 58c | 480.05$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.62 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed MOUZ | 42c | 474.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Astralis | 39c | 287.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…1b17backed Astralis | 71c | 279$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…f5febacked MOUZ | 29c | 275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…a9c0backed MOUZ | 29c | 247$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348e…c889backed Astralis | 71c | 243$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed MOUZ | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed MOUZ | 43c | 229.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 57c | 202.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked MOUZ | 43c | 194.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked MOUZ | 42c | 174.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed MOUZ | 40c | 140.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked MOUZ | 41c | 123.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis | 62c | 88.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Astralis | 61c | 82.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Astralis | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Astralis | 70c | 71.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 63.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ | 35c | 59.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Astralis | 52c | 52.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Astralis | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Astralis | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed MOUZ | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 38c | 33.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Astralis | 51c | 31.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Astralis | 52c | 30.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Astralis | 52c | 30.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 58c | 30.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed MOUZ | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed MOUZ | 45c | 29.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ | 41c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed Astralis | 60c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ | 42c | 24.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Astralis | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Astralis | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Astralis | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Astralis | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed MOUZ | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Astralis | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Astralis | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Astralis | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Astralis | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.