Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395824fb3b4415bb3a4ba52608fdb3e953102e1df1b641952cc3b6a4c90295b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonay Kartalof Madison Keys, Sonay Kartal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sonay Kartal | 37c | 77,841$28,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,134.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Madison Keys | 75c | 76,655$57,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,379.74 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Madison Keys | 51c | 45,269$23,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,203.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sonay Kartal | 41c | 35,512$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,011.26 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sonay Kartal | 38c | 19,950$7,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,381.46 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Madison Keys | 68c | 16,586$11,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,241.36 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonay Kartal | 33c | 15,824$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 13,590$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.49 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Madison Keys | 66c | 8,530$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.8 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sonay Kartal | 47c | 7,899$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.31 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sonay Kartal | 38c | 7,692$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.24 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Sonay Kartal | 59c | 7,684$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.89 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Madison Keys | 69c | 7,150$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.5 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Madison Keys | 65c | 7,000$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.25 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Madison Keys | 65c | 6,875$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Sonay Kartal | 38c | 4,559$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.62 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…bcecbacked Madison Keys | 64c | 4,293$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Sonay Kartal | 35c | 4,191$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Madison Keys | 67c | 3,745$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Madison Keys | 64c | 3,648$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.07 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Madison Keys | 66c | 3,523$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Sonay Kartal | 64c | 3,460$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.1 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Madison Keys | 66c | 3,296$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.5 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Madison Keys | 65c | 3,078$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Sonay Kartal | 34c | 2,932$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.35 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Sonay Kartal | 40c | 2,615$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.93 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 2,583$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.42 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sonay Kartal | 34c | 2,416$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.3 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Madison Keys | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Madison Keys | 68c | 2,203$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.46 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Sonay Kartal | 38c | 2,100$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.96 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 2,084$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.81 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sonay Kartal | 35c | 2,002$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.3 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Madison Keys | 65c | 1,882$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.37 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sonay Kartal | 36c | 1,766$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.33 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Madison Keys | 49c | 1,578$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.04 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Madison Keys | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 1,450$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Madison Keys | 43c | 1,443$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.91 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Madison Keys | 78c | 1,290$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…5597backed Madison Keys | 54c | 1,239$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Madison Keys | 46c | 1,216$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.28 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Madison Keys | 65c | 1,211$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.41 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Madison Keys | 62c | 1,164$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.74 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…2145backed Madison Keys | 42c | 1,154$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Madison Keys | 69c | 1,149$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Madison Keys | 65c | 1,079$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.24 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sonay Kartal | 35c | 1,076$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.59 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sonay Kartal | 36c | 1,018$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sonay Kartal | 38c | 1,005$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.6 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Sonay Kartal | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Sonay Kartal | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Sonay Kartal | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sonay Kartal | 34c | 900$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Madison Keys | 36c | 888.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Madison Keys | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 850$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Madison Keys | 66c | 755.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Madison Keys | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Keys | 43c | 730.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Madison Keys | 67c | 708.91$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Madison Keys | 65c | 704.93$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.44 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sonay Kartal | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Madison Keys | 2c | 693.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sonay Kartal | 37c | 657.23$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.57 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Madison Keys | 66c | 606.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 569.7$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Madison Keys | 63c | 539.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Madison Keys | 66c | 531.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Madison Keys | 50c | 524.82$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Madison Keys | 33c | 519.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 514.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.29 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Madison Keys | 55c | 506.3$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.47 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sonay Kartal | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Madison Keys | 67c | 499.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 497.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.37 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 494.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sonay Kartal | 37c | 483.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Madison Keys | 63c | 478.51$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Madison Keys | 54c | 462.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Madison Keys | 77c | 461$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 442.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 442.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sonay Kartal | 23c | 415.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Madison Keys | 41c | 404.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Sonay Kartal | 56c | 400.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Madison Keys | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Madison Keys | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Madison Keys | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sonay Kartal | 36c | 399$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Sonay Kartal | 35c | 384.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Keys | 68c | 378.29$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Madison Keys | 60c | 348.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 342.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Madison Keys | 64c | 333.35$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Sonay Kartal | 36c | 315$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalthis page
- Keys vs. Kartal: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Keys vs. Kartal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Madison Keys vs. Sonay Kartal: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Keys vs KartalKeys won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Kartal (+1.5)Kartal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.