TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x713b…ee60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.98
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+176.4%+$402.16
Prague 2: Marek Gengel vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Marek Gengel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.78
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.16
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arconbacked Adrian Arcon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.43
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.42
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
Miami Open: Arthur Cazaux vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Asuncion: Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Jaime Fariabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$3,367.58
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$2,322.41
Miami Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$2,219.85
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rochabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.08
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$3,183.89
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$3,874.57
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$5,843.2
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,441.63
Cherbourg: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikoribacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$4,174.64
Cherbourg: Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineaubacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$4,031.48
Cherbourg: Jelle Sels vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$146.84
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.5%+$81.56
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.