TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikori

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clement Taburof Clement Tabur, Kei Nishikori
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,338 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x713b…ee60backed Clement Tabur49c8,175$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.645628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kei Nishikori36c4,307$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kei Nishikori57c3,678$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.6135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kei Nishikori24c2,984$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.282,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kei Nishikori44c2,507$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.913,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…45c5backed Clement Tabur74c2,372$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Clement Tabur48c2,341$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.9855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kei Nishikori7c2,251$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Kei Nishikori64c2,031$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Kei Nishikori60c1,671$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Clement Tabur37c1,376$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.753,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed Clement Tabur41c1,223$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clement Tabur53c954.64$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Kei Nishikori59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53181047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Clement Tabur36c823.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1212354.5%67 W · 56 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce3e…623bbacked Kei Nishikori61c575$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.753046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Clement Tabur45c475.89$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0935040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Clement Tabur54c465.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1235344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clement Tabur43c436.61$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.641,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Kei Nishikori4c420$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Kei Nishikori55c413.78$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kei Nishikori17c380.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.011,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Clement Tabur42c366.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.661,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Clement Tabur43c338.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0819338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kei Nishikori25c338.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.556,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kei Nishikori37c333.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Clement Tabur47c320.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6412360.2%74 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Clement Tabur51c315.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1911832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Clement Tabur70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.718465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Kei Nishikori51c274.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Kei Nishikori8c273.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2624244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Clement Tabur39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Clement Tabur39c248$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2848552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Clement Tabur44c226$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6910835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kei Nishikori58c226$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.087,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Clement Tabur46c218.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7926853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Kei Nishikori50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kei Nishikori54c194.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.252,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Clement Tabur42c191.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.172,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Clement Tabur40c187.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clement Tabur42c176.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.871,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Clement Tabur44c175$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.871,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Kei Nishikori59c168.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Kei Nishikori59c167.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9959954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Kei Nishikori61c166.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kei Nishikori48c163.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.436,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Kei Nishikori60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Clement Tabur41c158.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.614247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Kei Nishikori54c152$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Clement Tabur41c151.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4843951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kei Nishikori30c144.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.657,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Kei Nishikori57c141.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5540744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fff…bb71backed Clement Tabur40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Clement Tabur40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Clement Tabur39c121.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9332842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kei Nishikori58c118$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.441,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Kei Nishikori59c114.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5718460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clement Tabur66c113.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5638147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Kei Nishikori58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.813556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Clement Tabur49c107.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Clement Tabur47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384045%18 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03c…3138backed Kei Nishikori60c104.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.464742.6%20 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Clement Tabur48c100.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Kei Nishikori60c97.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7929063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Kei Nishikori38c97.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7621765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Kei Nishikori55c97.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4914541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Clement Tabur45c89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kei Nishikori56c79.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.737,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kei Nishikori56c76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92f…58b4backed Clement Tabur45c74.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kei Nishikori47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Clement Tabur58c72.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8682560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kei Nishikori58c72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.582,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Kei Nishikori57c68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Clement Tabur46c60.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Kei Nishikori58c55.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0139872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Kei Nishikori51c54.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kei Nishikori49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.974,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kei Nishikori58c52.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.111,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Kei Nishikori60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5c…3769backed Clement Tabur52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Clement Tabur42c47.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Clement Tabur42c47.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7310046%46 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kei Nishikori54c44.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.632,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Kei Nishikori58c43.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0332448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed Kei Nishikori47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209652.1%50 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…f00dbacked Kei Nishikori59c42.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Clement Tabur40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2470729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Clement Tabur39c38.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.433458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Kei Nishikori56c37.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Kei Nishikori44c36.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0927546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Kei Nishikori55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Kei Nishikori59c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1822642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clement Tabur43c33.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.151,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Kei Nishikori50c32.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2430853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Clement Tabur40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Clement Tabur44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6400…d302backed Clement Tabur43c26.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Clement Tabur48c25.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.194854.2%26 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd280…54f4backed Clement Tabur40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152524%6 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.