Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2: Marek Gengel vs Juan Bautista Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfede43c44f363d25441ae3e662ef0e1ea2326b16739a45b0a03457608c28f148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Bautista Torresof Marek Gengel, Juan Bautista Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Marek Gengel | 17c | 3,375$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.04 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marek Gengel | 18c | 1,999$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marek Gengel | 23c | 1,789$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marek Gengel | 33c | 1,395$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Bautista Torres | 71c | 1,156$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marek Gengel | 16c | 941.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marek Gengel | 37c | 651.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marek Gengel | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Marek Gengel | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Marek Gengel | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marek Gengel | 41c | 427.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Marek Gengel | 33c | 404.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Juan Bautista Torres | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Marek Gengel | 15c | 377.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marek Gengel | 19c | 260.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marek Gengel | 16c | 253.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marek Gengel | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…f14ebacked Juan Bautista Torres | 59c | 228.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marek Gengel | 27c | 217.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marek Gengel | 18c | 210.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Juan Bautista Torres | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Juan Bautista Torres | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Bautista Torres | 69c | 160.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Bautista Torres | 74c | 156.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Marek Gengel | 31c | 145.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Marek Gengel | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Juan Bautista Torres | 72c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marek Gengel | 21c | 126$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Marek Gengel | 32c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Marek Gengel | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Marek Gengel | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Marek Gengel | 25c | 100.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marek Gengel | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Bautista Torres | 76c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marek Gengel | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Juan Bautista Torres | 80c | 73.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Marek Gengel | 23c | 71.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 69c | 70.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marek Gengel | 37c | 49.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Marek Gengel | 28c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Bautista Torres | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Juan Bautista Torres | 68c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Juan Bautista Torres | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Juan Bautista Torres | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Juan Bautista Torres | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Juan Bautista Torres | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prague 2: Marek Gengel vs Juan Bautista Torresthis page
- Set Handicap: Torres (-1.5) vs Gengel (+1.5)Gengel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.