TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe723…f14e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$32.97
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$67.08
Prague 2: Marek Gengel vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$93.86
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$67.16
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$169.68
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$177.56
Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erelbacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$234.02
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$28.76
Samsun: Dan Added vs Lucas Poullainbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$33.52
Samsun: Mert Alkaya vs Colin Sinclairbacked Colin Sinclair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$32.67
Samsun: Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duranbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$162.93
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bloomfield Hills: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Tampere: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bloomfield Hills: Blaise Bicknell vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$12.87
Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel Tobonbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$31.09
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.44
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelinibacked Lorenzo Angelini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+120%+$21.61
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Troyes: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$15.93
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cary: Rei Sakamoto vs Timo Legoutbacked Timo Legout · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$27.34
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.