Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84854a9f52c4024e5fffbae19e00eb889115c6d0b5fa43d1e72b907aed52409b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6c | 10,229$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.37 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 6,041$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 48c | 4,841$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.27 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 3,255$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 1,107$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.16 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 876.14$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.73 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 53c | 661.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 79c | 516.49$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 487.13$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 67c | 436.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 379.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 274.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 59c | 262.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 31c | 244.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 232.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 203.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 179.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 162.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 7c | 156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 146.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 137.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 17c | 102.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 101.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 70c | 73.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 71.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 69.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…f14ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 65.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 55c | 58.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 56.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 55.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 50.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 43.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…2c89backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 45c | 40.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 52c | 37.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 35.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 57c | 23.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 49c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 50c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 56c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampere: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgthis page
- Kjaer vs. Gueymard-Wayenburg: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.