La Liga · resolved market
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781277f0d3dfe444547f2efb5aeae96b8fe524c2d272d4c9def05274a3a6846b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 10,822$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 3,174$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 6c | 2,724$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…a124backed No | 7c | 1,462$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,431$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 5c | 1,174$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 7c | 1,072$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 9c | 1,042$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 3c | 837$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 11c | 821.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…570dbacked No | 10c | 762.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 5c | 743.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 8c | 504.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…1acfbacked No | 7c | 504.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…9fa9backed No | 11c | 451.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 9c | 441.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…e408backed No | 6c | 437.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 5c | 401.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 7c | 363.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 8c | 362$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 9c | 350.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 7c | 329.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe090…0daebacked No | 7c | 291.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 6c | 280$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 7c | 247.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 8c | 247.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 6c | 237.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 190.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…a83bbacked No | 11c | 188.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked No | 8c | 151.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 18c | 111.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…f14ebacked No | 10c | 102.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?this page
- Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.