La Liga · resolved market
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5897eeea89440590e588ad66627836cf19d545f3c9273f825ca44cb8fe9016b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d43…c0d6backed Yes | 11c | 5,479$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 8c | 2,738$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 3c | 2,123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…6ea4backed Yes | 7c | 2,077$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,955$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…e812backed Yes | 8c | 1,606$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…34edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,449$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…8d74backed Yes | 7c | 1,393$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 6c | 1,378$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…2d5bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,376$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…e408backed Yes | 6c | 1,362$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 2c | 1,121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…5fb8backed Yes | 11c | 1,104$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 7c | 1,006$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 6c | 977.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 4c | 959.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…2c0fbacked Yes | 6c | 847.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd1…2028backed Yes | 5c | 767.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…570dbacked Yes | 7c | 740.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…b22fbacked Yes | 2c | 657.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…6d37backed Yes | 8c | 629.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b4…8467backed Yes | 3c | 620$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…4ec8backed Yes | 9c | 608.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…71efbacked Yes | 9c | 574.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…4d5ebacked Yes | 9c | 546.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…0756backed Yes | 8c | 522.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…04c3backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…7f3bbacked Yes | 11c | 457.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 4c | 374.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…9bc0backed Yes | 5c | 367.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 7c | 364.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ee3ebacked Yes | 7c | 342.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…c4f5backed Yes | 8c | 336.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45de…5e6cbacked Yes | 9c | 332.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…faf9backed Yes | 6c | 328$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…1acfbacked Yes | 7c | 324$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ca…d406backed Yes | 10c | 313.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 13c | 272.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…b1babacked Yes | 10c | 264.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…9a6cbacked Yes | 9c | 236.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…e106backed Yes | 10c | 203.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…bc39backed Yes | 6c | 173.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 169.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…2d49backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…1291backed Yes | 8c | 146.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…9fa9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?this page
- Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.