Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8a62e037e088f9820f7a00647e324eee0198f2834eecca64d0a22f0f30f0c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Berrettiniof Matteo Berrettini, Arthur Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $662,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $662,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Fils | 37c | 32,068$11,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,891.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Matteo Berrettini | 80c | 27,500$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Arthur Fils | 37c | 17,177$6,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.54 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Berrettini | 56c | 13,800$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.99 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Arthur Fils | 43c | 13,188$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.89 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Arthur Fils | 4c | 12,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Berrettini | 66c | 12,303$8,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.77 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 60c | 11,941$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.58 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Matteo Berrettini | 52c | 11,344$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 11,254$7,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.65 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Arthur Fils | 61c | 10,302$6,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Matteo Berrettini | 51c | 9,806$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 76c | 9,029$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Arthur Fils | 32c | 7,759$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.88 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Matteo Berrettini | 49c | 7,345$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.11 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 7,085$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Arthur Fils | 8c | 6,914$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Arthur Fils | 56c | 6,898$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.26 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Arthur Fils | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arthur Fils | 45c | 5,452$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.41 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Arthur Fils | 40c | 5,232$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 5,089$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.74 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 4,961$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.62 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Arthur Fils | 22c | 4,600$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…a68fbacked Arthur Fils | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 4,153$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Matteo Berrettini | 56c | 4,107$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.14 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Fils | 49c | 4,036$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.28 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Arthur Fils | 40c | 3,256$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 3,255$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.79 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 3,136$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Matteo Berrettini | 58c | 3,089$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.38 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Berrettini | 65c | 3,089$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Arthur Fils | 48c | 3,082$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 3,001$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.8 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Arthur Fils | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arthur Fils | 48c | 2,767$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.01 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Arthur Fils | 45c | 2,640$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Berrettini | 65c | 2,627$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.46 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Matteo Berrettini | 56c | 2,506$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.49 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Arthur Fils | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…5832backed Matteo Berrettini | 53c | 2,356$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 2,256$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.09 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Arthur Fils | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Arthur Fils | 46c | 2,146$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Matteo Berrettini | 56c | 2,136$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Arthur Fils | 24c | 2,084$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.28 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Arthur Fils | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Arthur Fils | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Arthur Fils | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Arthur Fils | 12c | 1,980$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Arthur Fils | 50c | 1,934$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.81 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Arthur Fils | 37c | 1,929$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.64 | 52 | 13.5%7 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Arthur Fils | 71c | 1,897$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.23 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Arthur Fils | 41c | 1,895$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.9 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arthur Fils | 14c | 1,879$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Berrettini | 37c | 1,853$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.73 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Arthur Fils | 52c | 1,822$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Arthur Fils | 11c | 1,813$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Arthur Fils | 53c | 1,729$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.42 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Berrettini | 32c | 1,691$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Matteo Berrettini | 53c | 1,684$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 1,559$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 1,554$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.15 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Matteo Berrettini | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.05 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Arthur Fils | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Arthur Fils | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Matteo Berrettini | 53c | 1,448$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Arthur Fils | 28c | 1,384$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.47 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Arthur Fils | 16c | 1,361$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Arthur Fils | 10c | 1,332$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Matteo Berrettini | 51c | 1,322$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.96 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Arthur Fils | 71c | 1,308$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.64 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Matteo Berrettini | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Matteo Berrettini | 62c | 1,287$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ab…d317backed Arthur Fils | 43c | 1,257$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Arthur Fils | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Arthur Fils | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Matteo Berrettini | 70c | 1,185$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.21 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Arthur Fils | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.8 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Arthur Fils | 45c | 1,158$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.07 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Matteo Berrettini | 35c | 1,140$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.8 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Arthur Fils | 45c | 1,138$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.59 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Arthur Fils | 48c | 1,137$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.61 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Arthur Fils | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Arthur Fils | 39c | 1,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 1,018$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.7 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…698bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 66c | 1,009$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…e4c5backed Matteo Berrettini | 56c | 1,004$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Matteo Berrettini | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arthur Fils | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…dc6abacked Arthur Fils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsthis page
- Berrettini vs. Fils: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Berrettini vs. Fils: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Berrettini vs. Fils: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Matteo Berrettini vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Matteo Berrettini vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs FilsBerrettini won
- Set 2 Winner: Berrettini vs FilsBerrettini won
- Set 3 Winner: Berrettini vs FilsFils won
- Set 4 Winner: Berrettini vs FilsBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)Berrettini won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-2.5) vs Berrettini (+2.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.