TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Samsun: Mert Alkaya vs Colin Sinclair

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colin Sinclairof Mert Alkaya, Colin Sinclair
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b9…4467backed Colin Sinclair8c7,429$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,848.5738033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Mert Alkaya69c7,255$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colin Sinclair40c6,635$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mert Alkaya38c5,585$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.778,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Colin Sinclair78c4,726$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.8336154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Colin Sinclair80c3,617$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.4113050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mert Alkaya65c1,619$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.994,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Colin Sinclair32c1,515$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Colin Sinclair35c999.98$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.091,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colin Sinclair19c996.67$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.981,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mert Alkaya11c852.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.476,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Colin Sinclair58c797.64$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.843,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Mert Alkaya11c680.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4919041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya22c533.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.486,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mert Alkaya9c481.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.663,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colin Sinclair36c480.01$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.242,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Mert Alkaya22c450.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Mert Alkaya22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.815733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Mert Alkaya22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.814936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Mert Alkaya22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Mert Alkaya22c350$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.711826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Mert Alkaya66c308.57$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2548152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Mert Alkaya66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.752341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Mert Alkaya22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.613438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mert Alkaya23c278.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.256,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Mert Alkaya69c274.74$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9544448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Mert Alkaya11c263.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4973648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Colin Sinclair19c260.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.825,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Mert Alkaya22c250$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.548738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Mert Alkaya22c250$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Mert Alkaya22c240$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2815536.8%57 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae75…9fd7backed Colin Sinclair33c238.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.56248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Mert Alkaya60c223.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.281,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Mert Alkaya10c205$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5256153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Mert Alkaya59c203.56$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.188042.5%34 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Mert Alkaya11c200.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.730132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.49640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.412746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.48840.9%36 W · 52 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46527.7%18 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.414047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.47939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Mert Alkaya22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colin Sinclair18c199.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.181,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Colin Sinclair19c188.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.642,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Colin Sinclair53c184.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.051,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Mert Alkaya11c175.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mert Alkaya44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.184,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mert Alkaya54c162.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.582,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Mert Alkaya13c162.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8491051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Mert Alkaya65c153.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mert Alkaya80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Colin Sinclair20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Mert Alkaya8c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Colin Sinclair32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.333228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Mert Alkaya68c147.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8252854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Colin Sinclair35c141.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.112,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Colin Sinclair34c139.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0744751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Mert Alkaya22c135.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309437.2%35 W · 59 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Mert Alkaya22c135.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038c…b4e0backed Mert Alkaya16c122.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mert Alkaya66c121.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Colin Sinclair10c116.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.369832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Colin Sinclair38c96.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4136557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Colin Sinclair38c96.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1544138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Colin Sinclair64c88.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.725,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Colin Sinclair50c81.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mert Alkaya64c78.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Mert Alkaya14c77.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710847.2%51 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Mert Alkaya65c73.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8125546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Colin Sinclair25c71.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9611653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Mert Alkaya15c66.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2227748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Colin Sinclair37c66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Colin Sinclair17c64.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe723…f14ebacked Colin Sinclair38c52.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.673568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Mert Alkaya79c50.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0382159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Colin Sinclair21c49.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.419722.7%22 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Mert Alkaya70c43.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Mert Alkaya79c40.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8835851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Mert Alkaya69c38.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3e…6c17backed Colin Sinclair37c30.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9914953.7%80 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Colin Sinclair50c27.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.786,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Colin Sinclair48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.152552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…d2dbbacked Mert Alkaya63c24.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754139%16 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed Mert Alkaya70c20.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.964156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Mert Alkaya80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Mert Alkaya68c17.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0574346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Mert Alkaya65c17.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Mert Alkaya66c16.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Colin Sinclair63c16.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0643144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…6767backed Mert Alkaya80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129366.7%62 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.