TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6209…6767

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT9366.7%62 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Astana: Eunchae Kim vs Su Jeong Jangbacked Su Jeong Jang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
ITF Curtea de Arges: Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Freddy Murraybacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
ITF Tianjin: Yushan Shao vs Anna Yangbacked Yushan Shao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
ITF Tianjin: Sera Nishimoto vs Meiqi Guobacked Meiqi Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Gironbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Plovdiv 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs George Lazarovbacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
ITF Bielsko Biala: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Leonardo Borrellibacked Jeremy Gschwendtner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
ITF Roehampton: Alice Tubello vs Angella Okutoyibacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
ITF Huamantla: Mika Buchnik vs Marianne Angel Gonzalezbacked Mika Buchnik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
ITF Edwardsville: Ozan Baris vs Vignesh Goginenibacked Ozan Baris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Canadian Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chanbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
ITF Huamantla: Camille Allegre vs Marianne Angel Gonzalezbacked Camille Allegre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
ITF Brisbane: Chia Yi Tsao vs Mutsumi Uemurabacked Chia Yi Tsao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
ITF Xativa: Eric Vanshelboim vs Herman Hoeyeraalbacked Eric Vanshelboim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
ITF Wetzlar: Vincent Marysko vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
ITF Strasbourg: Arthur Nagel vs Tristan Berardbacked Arthur Nagel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed CF Montréal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)backed AC Horsens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Ugandabacked Uganda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.