Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde888364cdb6fff7d7fee34111998201a0c84fef89157574532ef726e3cd9ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CF Montréalof Inter Miami CF, CF Montréal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CF Montréal | 77c | 10,229$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Inter Miami CF | 25c | 7,481$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.79 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Inter Miami CF | 26c | 6,057$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.24 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CF Montréal | 74c | 6,048$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.85 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Inter Miami CF | 22c | 3,844$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Inter Miami CF | 25c | 3,125$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.95 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inter Miami CF | 25c | 1,847$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.71 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked CF Montréal | 76c | 1,337$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.63 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CF Montréal | 74c | 1,175$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Inter Miami CF | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked CF Montréal | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked CF Montréal | 74c | 960.49$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed CF Montréal | 75c | 844.68$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Inter Miami CF | 25c | 405.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inter Miami CF | 28c | 405.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CF Montréal | 74c | 397.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Inter Miami CF | 20c | 372.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inter Miami CF | 6c | 309.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked CF Montréal | 75c | 300.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed CF Montréal | 75c | 292$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CF Montréal | 75c | 252.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Inter Miami CF | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Inter Miami CF | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed CF Montréal | 75c | 190.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed CF Montréal | 73c | 184$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CF Montréal | 74c | 179.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CF Montréal | 75c | 173.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Inter Miami CF | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed CF Montréal | 75c | 142.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inter Miami CF | 21c | 142.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Inter Miami CF | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed CF Montréal | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CF Montréal | 75c | 104.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked CF Montréal | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed CF Montréal | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Inter Miami CF | 26c | 73.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed CF Montréal | 75c | 66.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Inter Miami CF | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed CF Montréal | 77c | 56.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked CF Montréal | 78c | 51.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Inter Miami CF | 26c | 50.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked CF Montréal | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed CF Montréal | 72c | 42.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed CF Montréal | 74c | 35.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed CF Montréal | 74c | 35.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed CF Montréal | 74c | 31.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked CF Montréal | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked CF Montréal | 72c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CF Montréal | 78c | 23.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed CF Montréal | 80c | 23.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CF Montréal | 75c | 22.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed CF Montréal | 74c | 21.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked CF Montréal | 77c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed CF Montréal | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked CF Montréal | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.