Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23424482acf97c6bcfec5e37e866aa80deb4c767e7071a21a3d4f211ff4cdbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 3c | 3,371$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 2,995$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.99 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 1,499$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.63 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 961.62$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 941.55$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Over | 77c | 512.13$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 21c | 502.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 22c | 442.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Over | 76c | 432.43$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 21c | 336.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 64c | 324$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 310.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 53c | 309.36$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 279.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 20c | 276.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 7c | 263$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 23c | 233.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 28c | 221.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 7c | 167.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…074bbacked Over | 77c | 130.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 72c | 108.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 21c | 106.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Under | 36c | 84.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 60.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Under | 21c | 47.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Over | 74c | 32.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 76c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…ec26backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Over | 73c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)CF Montréal won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.