Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f760ba02d4b07f81cb65e6d5ff6d8a1e4baa8e809b3c2044d79ca879874f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 32c | 4,708$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 2,825$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,988$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.44 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 71c | 1,388$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.61 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 58c | 1,043$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.78 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 865.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.25 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 11c | 836.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 786.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 706.58$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 596.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 30c | 367.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 330.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 318.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Over | 23c | 295.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 261.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 68c | 258.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 247.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 58c | 241.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 239.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 52c | 233.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 29c | 211.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 207.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 48c | 204.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 200.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 11c | 199.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 179.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 6c | 170.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 42c | 125.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 46c | 114.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 68c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)CF Montréal won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.