Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35927fd2e667c875139b2b5fd3090b26ede626629a306e9a9dbf64c607e16c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 73c | 834.24$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 65c | 768.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 385.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 313$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 282.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Over | 62c | 145.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 136$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 129.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…f1d0backed Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 31.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)CF Montréal won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.