TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e8…88a4backed Over55c8,771$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.181973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c7,438$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.6698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c6,539$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.651,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c6,393$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.482917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over43c5,576$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under57c4,384$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.242171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Under45c4,045$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-75.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c2,837$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.8199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under13c2,150$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.55916.9%10 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under12c1,545$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.6172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over23c1,014$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over44c1,007$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over47c979.56$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0311633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over25c966.82$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c937.72$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over33c905.08$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c827.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.783,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over41c782.27$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c714.4$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1536247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over25c687.04$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under62c669.3$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.635247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under13c654.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.613450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over54c642.7$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under79c629.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.883775.7%28 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under58c474.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.095162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Under54c458.22$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Over68c387.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c387.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.011,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under60c343.12$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2436646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over38c331.02$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.346944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over59c317$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.923568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c314.57$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3624046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf1…7ea7backed Under68c294.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under12c277.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8610612.3%13 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Over22c265.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under12c256$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over50c240$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c236.46$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over36c198.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4512839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under58c162.41$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.224148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over47c159.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Under64c155.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Under68c147.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.433100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under64c145$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8427344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.30per pick69cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over71c139.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8612650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over46c137.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8930957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under74c134.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over37c119$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5219172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c118.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.281,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over41c100.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2516437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over26c94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.474955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over44c93.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under72c89.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under56c80.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.072166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under57c80.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.841,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over44c73.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.435350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under69c69.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over27c66.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2144447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Under47c63.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c60.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over47c51.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Over45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over46c50.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed Under22c45.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.492176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under61c45.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over24c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.434531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under57c43.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.737045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over45c41.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91c6…2f32backed Under57c41.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c38.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Over78c34.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over63c33.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over49c33.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over71c33.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.414957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over64c32.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7812356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Under65c32.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+138.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under47c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over34c30.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bc…fdf5backed Under77c29.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.