TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7583…4df2backed Over49c37,875$18,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,478.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under52c31,000$16,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,954.984062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over49c18,356$8,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,938.917549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over46c6,402$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.382755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under52c4,889$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over49c3,869$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c3,426$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.3499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over46c3,253$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.3832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c3,082$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.823,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c2,500$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.4170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c2,500$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.8572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under50c2,384$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.315437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,630$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.521,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c1,542$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.6327837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Under50c1,500$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,436$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.0526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under53c1,352$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.694949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.0410338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked Under53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under53c1,110$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.692040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c1,035$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Under54c919.98$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d7…61cfbacked Over45c852.66$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.518651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over46c718$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over49c710$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.93735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c643.92$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4810042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed Under53c574.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c437.66$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c437.01$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c434.21$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over46c401.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8922841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+87.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over49c392.77$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Under53c340$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under56c329.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.421,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under52c275.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.343953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over47c273.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Under55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.36346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c256.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over46c256.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.844755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c256$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under53c248.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.031540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under53c248.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under52c240$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.414349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Over47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under51c231.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.997757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under53c195.35$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.653066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over9c193.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.148624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under51c182.46$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c169$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under52c168.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c166.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c159.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over47c154.7$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1810556.2%59 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under51c147.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.082250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd781…daacbacked Under55c145.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbc…1b63backed Under55c145.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under55c145.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under52c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over49c112.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0412650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3918456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over46c108.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9211650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…9093backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.355162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over47c103.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8110753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over47c102.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.163250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under53c92.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.523262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under53c90.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.735068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac37…b46bbacked Over49c88.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c87.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under51c84.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1811848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over48c82.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.833336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under52c79.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Under52c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2b…0be8backed Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.