Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd39e080d1e2afcb890064db2e4dbc1bc6911f7d2f46bf82858f96b75d92c9d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 1,541$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 1,505$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.04 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 70c | 1,319$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 1,216$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.3 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,144$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.75 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,110$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 1,026$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.27 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,003$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 928.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 692$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.58 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 678.43$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.38 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 30c | 649.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 21c | 636.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 69c | 632.26$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 44c | 455.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 415.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 363.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 68c | 256$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 70c | 237.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 27c | 183.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 31c | 174.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 60c | 172$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 159.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 31c | 155.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 31c | 145.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 24c | 142.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 39c | 135.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…8df8backed Yes | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 36c | 103.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 30c | 79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…c3ffbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 31c | 62.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 52.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 71c | 50.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 69c | 43.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 77c | 40.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…b46bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 69c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…0f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 69c | 15.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: CF Montréal O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)CF Montréal won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.