Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3fd29a1dbcde4e74b4a41ec5c333b2e5e0d5ab8bcac801121afc6c681b65f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 9,267$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 57c | 7,810$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.87 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,555$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 22c | 2,623$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.33 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 64c | 2,050$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.77 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 61c | 1,692$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.3 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 1,262$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 78c | 688.18$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 77c | 571.69$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.71 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 522.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 40c | 350$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 73c | 300$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 58c | 254.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 246.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 67c | 241.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 236.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 20c | 177.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked No | 24c | 175$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 17c | 112.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 41c | 68.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 26c | 61.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 75c | 46.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 22c | 45.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…9aa3backed Yes | 44c | 42.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 80c | 42.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 79c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 78c | 15.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will ETO FC vs. FC Atert Bissen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.