TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AC Horsensof FC Nordsjælland, AC Horsens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,696 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed FC Nordsjælland29c5,846$1,703 inLost-$1,702.7192043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Nordsjælland21c4,417$923 inLost-$922.72,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed FC Nordsjælland12c4,123$504 inLost-$504.371,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AC Horsens80c3,928$3,142 inWon+$786.0891148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AC Horsens70c2,099$1,476 inWon+$623.127,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed AC Horsens71c304.05$217 inWon+$87.0155954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…01c1backed FC Nordsjælland20c285.16$57 inLost-$56.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed FC Nordsjælland28c187.08$52 inLost-$52.4389258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed AC Horsens72c119.63$87 inWon+$32.928049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed FC Nordsjælland20c111.01$22 inLost-$22.221454.2%116 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed FC Nordsjælland48c106.25$51 inLost-$516349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e9…9886backed FC Nordsjælland26c96.15$25 inLost-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed AC Horsens75c89$67 inWon+$22.255271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC Nordsjælland25c83$21 inLost-$20.752,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed FC Nordsjælland27c73.78$20 inLost-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed AC Horsens77c49.45$38 inWon+$11.1433959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed AC Horsens72c42.58$31 inWon+$11.929135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed AC Horsens80c41.12$33 inWon+$8.221080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FC Nordsjælland42c30.98$13 inLost-$13.0233853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed AC Horsens61c28.52$17 inWon+$11.096267.7%42 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6209…6767backed AC Horsens72c15$11 inWon+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed AC Horsens80c12.52$10 inWon+$2.54789.4%42 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick80cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.