Other European Leagues · resolved market
AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99caae4a01bfde3ead5151158f4a7e4a66f4229c26dc37972c16cbc8a4119a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 7,482$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 6,142$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.98 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 4,547$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.04 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 3,893$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.73 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,873$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 2,856$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 33c | 802.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.29 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 526.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.75 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 68c | 518.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 457.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 39c | 393.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 64c | 365.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 76c | 308.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 271.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 56c | 253.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 211$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 52c | 210.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 61c | 206.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 49c | 203.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 188.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 56c | 177.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 126.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 24c | 117$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 107.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 36c | 107.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 48c | 107.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 45c | 105.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 100.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 55c | 100.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 85.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 72.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 74c | 70.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 50c | 66.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 35c | 54.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 57c | 51.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Over | 45c | 41.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 49c | 31.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 26.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 51c | 23.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 73c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Horsens (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)AC Horsens won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.