Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1a1154d8a55cddb1f04dcd687d06f87c6e74952ab5d27c5b2591d60f863683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,487$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.25 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 3,100$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.93 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 75c | 1,141$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,065$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 947.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 639.62$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 425.37$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +314.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 75.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 70c | 69.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes | 27c | 57.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 68c | 41.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 36.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 26.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.