Premier League · resolved market
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2b4d024a08770ecae056ca3e226fd8aaef42f9bebcda5317245dffe29cbc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 55c | 7,758$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.47 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 3,817$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 2,864$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.98 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 44c | 1,709$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.32 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 11c | 1,668$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.79 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 1,024$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 79c | 629.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 622.38$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 14c | 474.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 11c | 416.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.37 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Yes | 42c | 411.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 59c | 398.34$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 391.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 355.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 317.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 295.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 47c | 212.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 51c | 201.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 11c | 199.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 57c | 175.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 45c | 154.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 11c | 140.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 51c | 125.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…00a4backed Yes | 77c | 122.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 114.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 103.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 32c | 100.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 48c | 99.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 95.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Yes | 12c | 87.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 49c | 78.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 25c | 72.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 65c | 65.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 27c | 55.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…41f3backed Yes | 64c | 47.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 43c | 46.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed No | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 53c | 43.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 64c | 40.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…e65abacked Yes | 77c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes | 35c | 36.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 49c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 49c | 26.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.