Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6e9711cde158f3045d0e297cdd4045986fbfb029540de82216b4a41b6b28aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 31c | 17,599$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.45 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 9,776$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 3,440$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.07 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 3,065$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.75 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 2,900$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.39 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 2,610$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.99 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 77c | 1,998$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +314.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,331$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.08 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 1,155$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 14c | 721.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 54c | 560.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 551.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.76 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 75c | 458.56$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 450.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 445.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 69c | 285.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 274.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 76c | 266.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 259.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 34c | 240.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 27c | 194.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 180$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 168.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 73c | 152.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 139.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 11c | 139.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…1906backed Yes | 74c | 128.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked No | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 27c | 120.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…d955backed Yes | 71c | 115.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 107.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…b224backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 63c | 98.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 67c | 96.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 96.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 75c | 92.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 74c | 80.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…8ecabacked Yes | 64c | 74.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 74.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 70c | 73.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 26c | 69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 73c | 67.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 74c | 65.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 69c | 62.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 69c | 47.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Yes | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed No | 78c | 37.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 70c | 35.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 53c | 33.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 44c | 31.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 72c | 24.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…1cbfbacked Yes | 73c | 24.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 71c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…07f1backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 71c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes | 73c | 18.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…ef17backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 75c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 79c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 76c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed No | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.