TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes79c24,960$19,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No22c11,373$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.965743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No2c5,534$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No22c4,617$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No13c4,399$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.124348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No2c3,732$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.643240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No22c3,638$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c3,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes79c3,291$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.333540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes79c2,927$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No18c2,777$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No9c2,716$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7422841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes78c1,750$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.4373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No20c1,712$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.011,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No22c1,700$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No18c1,384$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No14c1,160$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c1,157$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No21c1,105$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0710338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes78c1,097$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.349726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No14c998.81$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.992832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No14c850.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes78c842.35$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes78c794.19$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No22c757.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0410628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked No23c748.57$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes78c633.25$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3133346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No11c603.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.46636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No5c584$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.29437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No21c579.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes78c538.46$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.462055%11 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick73cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Yes79c518.83$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.832356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10514652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No21c494.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4727…0ca0backed Yes77c470.13$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No10c444.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No21c414.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No10c402.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.299268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes59c353$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No7c339.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.079540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No20c276$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No22c275.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.584158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No23c264.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No4c256$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.247038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Yes77c247.79$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea40…098bbacked Yes79c242.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked No23c234.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No22c225$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes79c215.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes79c210$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11650%8 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes79c196$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.774566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No41c190$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.958032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Yes78c180$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c153.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.692653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes78c151.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed No21c147.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed No13c140.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.286944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes78c133.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3317858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed No11c133.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes78c128.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Yes80c125.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No21c124.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0516437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes79c123.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.941994.7%18 W · 1 L+5.8wins+0.31per pick64cpaid+51.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No21c123$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed No22c120.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No22c111.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.442673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No12c110.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No21c106.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11a9…e257backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No20c98.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes78c96.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.154528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9730…5865backed Yes79c94.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No13c91.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No21c90.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.093250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Yes78c84.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked No21c82.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9410556.2%59 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No21c75.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No22c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.359346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed No21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea7…078bbacked No22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Yes80c63.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes79c62.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes79c61.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No22c60.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0719642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked No22c57.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.912236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes79c56.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde86…1f5ebacked Yes78c56.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No21c55.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Yes79c55.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.632483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.