South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc118f1f710a3f04e88a311a79944413e3c1b8509950137edc5150a2e16d82cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 18,098$14,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.01 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 12,720$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,776$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.44 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 2,180$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 1,897$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.09 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 1,822$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,722$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.05 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 32c | 1,667$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 14c | 1,486$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 22c | 1,125$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 816.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 21c | 631.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 624.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 489.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 479.88$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 20c | 449.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 14c | 431$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 21c | 429.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 16c | 412.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 21c | 347.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 8c | 320.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 21c | 317.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 20c | 316.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 21c | 301.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 296$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 21c | 293.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 28c | 272$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 8c | 259.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Yes | 21c | 237.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 21c | 209.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 15c | 200.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 22c | 198.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 22c | 182.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 32c | 158.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 74c | 148$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 8c | 144$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 138.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…9c09backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…611cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 10c | 123$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 18c | 105.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 21c | 101.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 70c | 97.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Yes | 22c | 81.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 15c | 79.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Yes | 16c | 75.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 61c | 63.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 58.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 24c | 55.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 74c | 49.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 29c | 44.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 44.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…ea64backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 66c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 63c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 64c | 19.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 74c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.