South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67455da6aa20ab0006d1025080c461b79df511071d2568c88941400131dee80b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 41c | 9,583$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.87 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 19c | 5,719$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.34 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,969$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.09 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 3,616$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,204$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.91 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,958$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 73c | 2,366$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 35c | 2,222$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 30c | 1,957$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 33c | 1,910$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked No | 28c | 1,896$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 36c | 1,588$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 57c | 1,558$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.23 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 1,477$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.78 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,371$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.2 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 22c | 1,362$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.92 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 54c | 1,064$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.06 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 72c | 915.62$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 30c | 900$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 42c | 850.35$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 33c | 586.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.82 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 535.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 27c | 489.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 12c | 469.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 53c | 434$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 44c | 391.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 24c | 385.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 37c | 361.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 72c | 354.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 44c | 333.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 322.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 72c | 318.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 287.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 34c | 265.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 261.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 72c | 239$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 24c | 216.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…59f9backed Yes | 33c | 196.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 66c | 191.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Yes | 33c | 150.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 14c | 138.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes | 34c | 135.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce0…a65bbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 54c | 132.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 65c | 118.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 118.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 42c | 112.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 37c | 105.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 14c | 100.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 97.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 21c | 96.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 72c | 93.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 23c | 88.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 66c | 87.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 82.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…898ebacked Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 34c | 76.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 44c | 73.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…f96abacked No | 33c | 65.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 57.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 70c | 56.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Yes | 20c | 51.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 51.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 68c | 49.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…387abacked Yes | 74c | 49.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed No | 52c | 48.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 66c | 48.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 55c | 45.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked No | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 37c | 42.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.