TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No59c22,721$13,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,294.1675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c9,169$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.278,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No71c7,806$5,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.8829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No41c5,815$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.8510828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes55c5,018$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.786735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No6c5,009$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.465837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes8c4,777$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.743,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No16c3,640$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No52c3,271$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.3926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No5c3,254$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No4c3,033$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.816827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes13c2,803$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.8310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes46c1,948$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.8217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes41c1,933$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c70…9168backed No50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Yes77c1,387$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.482828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c1,226$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.629710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Yes40c1,203$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.453148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes29c1,109$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0810649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes35c923.05$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c876.4$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.565,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes48c789.61$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.561,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes8c769$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.31,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No47c737.8$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3212340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Yes52c729.16$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.573458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes28c714.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.283441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No21c696.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.864456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes49c674.63$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.831,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes55c668.62$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.622661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No13c662.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.948818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes79c633.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.171573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No14c624.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes39c604.76$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No26c524.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No3c499.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked No20c470$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No7c411.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes8c368$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5634155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes9c366.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.673250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes9c363.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Yes34c333.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No6c320$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes41c299.93$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Yes13c287.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+191.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes41c284.5$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No54c277.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9111143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes68c266.4$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes8c262.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.57814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.66144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed No16c236.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.283935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes69c229.07$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes8c223.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ac…fce6backed Yes9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.22922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes14c205.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked No11c203.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed No64c195.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes47c189.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.657454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.56451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes12c183.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+106.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes67c179.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.438660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes73c171.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.38139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes12c171.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+81.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed Yes10c170.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+935.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes25c162.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.94346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes45c158$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…ea64backed Yes12c115$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+111.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c108$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c106.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.381,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7c2…9ab4backed Yes67c101.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Yes73c92.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed No46c92.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No16c92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…a949backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No75c79.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…2c26backed Yes35c77.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes44c76.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes34c72.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.88569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13c0…a298backed No63c70.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No14c70.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0918446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x126d…32a5backed Yes32c63.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No44c62.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes78c56.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No66c54.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9824535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed No64c52.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes58c51.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Yes50c44.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.112060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c42.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98b0…43c2backed Yes55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Yes28c35.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.