TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05c6…3a8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$61.92
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.63
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.92
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.99
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$218.59
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.69
CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.87
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.03
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$56
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.41
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12100%12 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$176.96
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$98.72
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$182.1
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.37
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$101.97
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$41.25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.5
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.88
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$58.89
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.37
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Halmstads BK O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.