South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf231de5fa70f432ee1aca14404d45d024adcbdb29c367b1a3ac6a1baf2573613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 43c | 2,290$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,761$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 999.17$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.27 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 46c | 946.68$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 53c | 895.05$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.86 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 47c | 574.6$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 45c | 573.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 540.95$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 502.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 485.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…b58dbacked Yes | 41c | 446.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 46c | 432.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 393.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 65c | 376.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 28c | 334.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 324.26$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 323.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Yes | 47c | 293.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked No | 78c | 257.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 249.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Yes | 48c | 214.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 54c | 205.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 194.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 185.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 45c | 146.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 45c | 143.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 55c | 125.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 45c | 121.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 35c | 74.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 68.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 67.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 42c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes | 47c | 64.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 45c | 64.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 44c | 62.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…cfddbacked Yes | 45c | 55.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 50.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 55c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 46.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 58c | 45.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 71c | 43.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…20bbbacked Yes | 42c | 40.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 36.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 57c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Yes | 43c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 57c | 32.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…1d87backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 45c | 27.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 58c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…946abacked Yes | 79c | 24.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…c4eebacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 56c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 56c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 80c | 15.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 74c | 13.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.