South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8d8265276d662caa1bff0c28a8f0a018192ab5ff9d3385ddc7cc65be0e8a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 0c | 9,028$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 1,189$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 562.39$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 544.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 508.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 252.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 27c | 248.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 73c | 238.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 23c | 237.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 217.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 214.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…46d2backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 12c | 196.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 136.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 116.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 27c | 104.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 25c | 103.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 28c | 100.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 22c | 87.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked No | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 74.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 69.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 73c | 68.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 27c | 58.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 55.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 74c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 79c | 22.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 73c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.