South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb36e31bcd15ab88701a67d073f00dd1ff8040493e190149c679a6c0c36452ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,539$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,154$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 70c | 813.5$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 780.52$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 742.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.7 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 629.57$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.63 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 626.93$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 615.74$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.02 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 24c | 301.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 273.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 238.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 41c | 235$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 16c | 176$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 172.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 149.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 21c | 93.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 88.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 30c | 67.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 56.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 37c | 46.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 30c | 39.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…b0aebacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 57c | 22.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.