TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6d4…523c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.91
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.48
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$11.75
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$7.38
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.61
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.25
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$33.94
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.31
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$34.24
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.69
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.04
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.9
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.02
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.02
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.61
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Damac Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.34
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.36
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.66
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.77
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Dalian Yingbo FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.46
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.65
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.43
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.6
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.18
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.28
Will CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.9
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.84
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.89
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.6
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.74
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed San Diego FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.68
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$39.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$29.67
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.6
1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.28
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Atlas FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.68
Will O'Higgins FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.58
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Will CD Riestra vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.46
Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed CA Tucumán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Vasco da Gama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.8
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.84
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.