TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c20,000$8,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,800.3436243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No60c5,403$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,236.1366047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No59c3,200$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88811952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No15c3,118$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4551842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes17c2,742$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.985869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No59c2,400$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4167552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82610057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7818344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7818343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70811254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No57c1,195$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6827439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5908160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c804.94$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.12,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47214050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4729457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes16c694.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2813860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c673.64$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.587,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes16c651.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.0486960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35410753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes41c532.38$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.246464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3258229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No59c520$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.87152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes41c476.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.926549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c442.35$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.522,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No61c438.8$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0634139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c358.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.562,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No59c352$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5754650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c339.27$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0415371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c333$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.471,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes68c324.32$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No59c320$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.89761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No59c312$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0810458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No59c312$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.089256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes37c299.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1823649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No59c280$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.28258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No65c201.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1517149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13092043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1187659.2%45 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No70c197.46$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.147368.5%50 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No59c161.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3611755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes36c155.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7314945.6%68 W · 81 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes17c130$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.924030.4%73 W · 167 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No79c126.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.323180.6%25 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.519948.7%97 W · 102 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes16c99.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes17c81.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.695521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.26154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No59c75.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.668554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2551140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes16c70.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.969954.5%54 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes33c66.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No23c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2332350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes25c58.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.854254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No61c55.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.154548.9%22 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.287147.9%34 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c50.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.84854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No61c49.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.047160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417c…63c5backed Yes39c47.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes77c46.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes71c45.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4918659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No30c44.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No61c43.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5112562.4%78 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No62c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.724454.9%134 W · 110 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes66c35.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8138147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9af2…3784backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed No60c33.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.888256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Yes76c31.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed No61c26.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.814257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…6617backed No60c19.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes78c19.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3518743.9%82 W · 105 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd4…b5e3backed No60c17.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes70c17.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2623743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No61c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2253655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.