Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1fbb96bc970125e528ba82bad8e72b1b3985b1ca55f8a8ae319d9750ff0558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 11c | 8,257$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.48 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 6,285$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.17 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,682$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,219$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 1,183$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 873.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 2c | 530.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 454.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 8c | 435.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…6403backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 359.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 307.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 53c | 275.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 60c | 247.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 57c | 194.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 27c | 186.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Yes | 43c | 179.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 40c | 170.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 156.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 144.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 88.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 46c | 82.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 69.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 37c | 65.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 34c | 37.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 37.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 37.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…d784backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.