Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fc5cff43d226b12d1d5e6a6170aadc09bac881845a85387156e1064089e8ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.92 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 8,311$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.37 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 5,938$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,977$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.52 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 41c | 2,128$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.82 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 55c | 2,093$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 1,710$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 996.37$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 42c | 819.27$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.96 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 59c | 488.22$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 38c | 488$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 42c | 475.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 43c | 472.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 59c | 339.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 282$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 36c | 182$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 163.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 69c | 145.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 100.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 99.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…516cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 76.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 28c | 63.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 63.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 57.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 53.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 61c | 40.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 57c | 36.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 25.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 59c | 25.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.